On the other hand, Ukraine's famous morale is beginning to crack. The frequent and often severe air strikes take their toll. Many Ukrainians feel less likely to win this war.
Russia seems more confident than ever. In the early stages of the war it suffered heavy losses in its attempts to advance. Nowadays this is much less the case, because Ukraine simply has too few weapons. Russia can now more easily compensate for existing material losses, now that the country has shifted to a war economy.
Therefore, all eyes are on Washington, where a vote on a new support package for Ukraine worth about $60 billion may take place later today. If this package is not approved, Ukraine will be in very bad shape, says the Institute for the Study of War.
The Institute for the Study of War warns that the stalemate on the front, which has persisted for more than a year, is at risk of breaking. It appears that this could lead to huge losses in 2024 and 2025. Even a complete Russian victory, including the capture of Kiev and the installation of a pro-Russian government.
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