The resurrection in Cologne creates a pink halo around our national team once again. The Red Devils were completely written off by statistical agencies after the first round of the European Championship. After one win, Belgium suddenly had the best chance of finishing seventh. Although the friendly statistical model still sees difficulties in the group.
1%. After the first round, it was the Red Devils’ chance to win the European Championship. Utopia at the time seemed like a utopia. After the win over Romania, the statistical odds increased.
Belgium gets it now 6.7% From Gracenote to raise the European Championship trophy aloft on July 14. Spain is currently the all-time favorite at around 15%, with France, Germany and a surprise Netherlands in second place on the Spaniards’ list.
Suddenly all is rosy in supercomputer land? Not if we look at Opta’s brother…
The most prominent competitor in E2
Opta models placed the Devils as the ninth biggest contender for final victory. The 1% becomes only 1% at the agency 1.93%.
Interestingly, the supercomputer gives Switzerland a better chance of winning in Berlin.
What also draws attention is the distribution of opportunities in the group stage. Belgians get less chance (35.62%) to win their group, then to become E2: 39%. Makes sense, because winning the group is impossible if Slovakia beats Romania.
Third place would be the most likely by a large margin 8% And there is still a lot of it 17% The possibility of the Devils being eliminated from the European Championship.
Cause for panic? No, because the Belgians have a chance to qualify for the knockout stage now 82.58%.
Probability distribution for countries in the group stage and knockout stage.
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